Poll Shock

Off by 40 points, newspaper's predictions may be disturbingly accurate

Robert C. Koehler - November 24, 2005

One of the most wildly inaccurate pre-election polls in memory, which was off by over 40 points on some predictions, may prove to be deadly accurate as an indicator of the problems we face as a nation with our voting process — and democracy itself.

But you won’t learn this by reading the Columbus Dispatch, the newspaper that conducted the poll just prior to Ohio’s Nov. 8 election. The paper’s public affairs editor conceded to me that the poll results the Dispatch wrote about, wrongly indicating massive public support for several proposed constitutional amendments, were, in essence, the journalistic equivalent of the explosion of the space shuttle Challenger.

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